Periods of Snow or Mix in Minnesota at Easter

I know you’d rather not see snow on Easter Sunday.

A low pressure system is expected to spread snow across much of western Minnesota during Sunday morning. The precipitation area is expected to expand eastward Sunday afternoon and evening, changing to rain or a rain/snow mix in many areas (including the Twin Cities), then the mix will return to mostly snow Sunday evening .

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid-Refresh (HRRR) model shows the potential pattern of precipitation from noon to 10 p.m. Sunday:

Simulated radar from noon to 10 p.m. Sunday

NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

Most snow will fall tonight through Monday morning in northeastern Minnesota.

How much snow?

The heaviest snow is expected to fall in northern Minnesota.

Here is the snow forecast for northwestern Minnesota and eastern North Dakota:

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Potential snowfall Sunday and Sunday evening

National Weather Service

A winter weather advisory has been issued for parts of northwestern Minnesota, with a winter storm warning in North Dakota:

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Sunday Advisories and Warnings

National Weather Service

Here are the details of the winter weather advisory:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 339 AM CDT Sun April 17, 2022 T1700Z-220418T0800Z/ West Polk-Kittson-Roseau-West Marshall-East Marshall-Pennington- Red Lake-East Polk-Steele-Traill- Including the towns of Crookston, East Grand Forks, Hallock, Karlstad, Lancaster, Roseau, Warroad, Greenbush, Warren, Stephen, Argyle, Newfolden, Middle River, Grygla, Thief River Falls, Red Lake Falls, Fosston, Fertile, McIntosh, Erskine, Finley, Hope, Mayville, Hillsboro, Hatton and Portland 339 AM CDT Sun April 17, 2022 . ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE NOON TODAY THROUGH 3:00 AM CDT MONDAY… * WHAT…Snow forecast. Total snow accumulation 3 to 5 inches. Winds blowing up to 45 mph. * WHERE… Parts of northwestern Minnesota and southeastern North Dakota. * WHEN… Noon today to 3 a.m. CDT Monday. * IMPACTS… Expect slippery road conditions. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES/PREPARATION… Slow down and use caution when traveling. The latest road conditions for North Dakota can be found at dot.nd.gov/travel and for Minnesota at 511mn.org, or by calling 5 1 1 in either state.

Parts of northeast Minnesota will see heavy snowfall tonight through Monday morning:

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Potential snowfall Sunday afternoon through Monday

National Weather Service

A winter storm warning covers southern Cook County tonight through Monday afternoon, with a winter weather advisory for the rest of Cook County and also Lake County.

Here are the details of the winter storm warning:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Duluth MN 248 AM CDT Sun April 17, 2022 MNZ021-172000- /O.UPG.KDLH.WS.A.0008.220418T0000Z-220418T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0009.220418T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0009.220418T0000Z -220418T2000Z/ Southern Cook- Including the City of Grand Marais 248 AM CDT Sun 17 Apr 2022 …WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TONIGHT TO 3 PM CDT MONDAY… * WHAT… Heavy snowfall forecast . Total snow accumulation 5 to 7 inches. * WHERE…Southern Cook County. This includes the tribal lands of the Grand Portage Reserve. * WHEN… From 7:00 p.m. tonight to 3:00 p.m. CDT Monday. * IMPACTS… Travel could be very difficult. Hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTION/PREPARATION… If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.

The Twin Cities Metropolitan Area will likely experience periods of rain or a rain/snow mix from around mid-afternoon through early Sunday evening, then a rain/snow mix late Sunday evening and overnight . Less than an inch of snow is expected across most of the metro area, mostly over grassy areas, with slush possible on streets and roads. Here is the NWS representation of the accumulation odds:

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Potential snowfall from Sunday to Monday

National Weather Service

You can hear updated weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News Network, and you can see updated weather information on the MPR News live weather blog.

cool again

The average high temperature for our twin cities is 57 degrees this time of year. Our highs today will be in the low to mid 40s. Northern and Western Minnesota will have highs on Sunday in the 30s, with 40s elsewhere:

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Highs expected on Sunday

National Weather Service

Wind gusts will exceed 20 mph in parts of far western Minnesota on Sunday afternoon:

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Sunday 1 p.m. expect gusty winds

National Weather Service

Forecast gusts plotted are in knots, with 20 knots equaling 23 mph.

Update

A new updraft will be released around 10:15 a.m. with an updated look at our snow potential today and tonight as well as a look at the week ahead.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm every Saturday and Sunday.

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